Tennis · WTA Montreux · 09/09, 11:00

Prediction: Tessa Johanna Brockmann vs Clara Burel

Team pages: Tessa Johanna Brockmann · Clara Burel

Prediction summary
Winner
27% 73%
Tessa Johanna Brockmann Clara Burel
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Tessa Johanna Brockmann 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLLWLWLL
Clara Burel 9-1 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tessa Johanna Brockmann 1490 · Clara Burel 1566
Tessa Johanna BrockmannClara Burel
Our model39%61%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clara Burel (rating 1490 vs 1566).
  • Note: Tessa Johanna Brockmann makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Tessa Johanna BrockmannClara Burel
Win %50%70%
Win % · Clay 100% (1) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.6-0.6
Games (G-P)10.2-11.912.2-8
Aces2.11.6
Double faults52.4
1st serve %64.3%64.2%
Break %30.6%58.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tessa Johanna Brockmann

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Tamara Zidansek
WTA Montreux · Clay
2-1 17-15 W
27/08 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W50 Oldenzaal
0-2 4-12 L
25/08 Jule Niemeier
W50 Oldenzaal
2-0 12-5 W
21/08 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W35 Erwitte
1-2 11-16 L
20/08 Daria Yesypchuk
W35 Erwitte
2-0 12-6 W
12/08 Marie Vogt
W50 Hamburg
0-2 5-12 L
04/08 Laima Vladson
W75 Leipzig
0-2 3-12 L
31/07 Fiona Ferro
W75 Hechingen
0-2 5-12 L
30/07 Sohyun Park
W75 Hechingen
2-1 14-14 W
28/07 Samira De Stefano
W75 Hechingen
2-1 19-15 W

Clara Burel

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Katerina Tsygourova
WTA Montreux · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
06/09 Fiona Ferro
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
1-2 14-15 L
05/09 Federica Urgesi
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-0 13-10 W
04/09 Emma Lene
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-0 12-3 W
03/09 Justina Mikulskyte
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-0 13-7 W
02/09 Sarah Van Emst
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-0 12-2 W
26/08 Qinwen Zheng
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
24/08 Yexin Ma
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
24/07 Alevtina Ibragimova
WTA Palermo · Clay
1-2 16-16 L
21/07 Anastasia Abbagnato
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tessa Johanna Brockmann vs Clara Burel?

Our model gives 73% to Clara Burel, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.