Tennis · WTA Montreux · 11/09, 15:00
Prediction: Fiona Ferro vs Lucie Havlickova
Team pages: Fiona Ferro · Lucie Havlickova
Prediction summary
Winner
Fiona Ferro
Lucie Havlickova
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Fiona Ferro
8-2 (W-L)
Lucie Havlickova
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Fiona Ferro
1–0
Lucie Havlickova
(1 last)
- 23 Apr2-1 12-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fiona Ferro 1622 · Lucie Havlickova 1534
| Fiona Ferro | Lucie Havlickova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fiona Ferro (rating 1622 vs 1534).
- Head-to-head: Fiona Ferro 1–0 Lucie Havlickova (1).
- Note: Lucie Havlickova makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Fiona Ferro | Lucie Havlickova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.1 | 11.7-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Fiona Ferro 1 – 0 Lucie Havlickova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fiona Ferro 1–0 Lucie Havlickova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/26 WTA Oeiras | 2-1 | 12-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fiona Ferro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Barbora Palicova WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Mona Barthel WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Clara Burel W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 05/09 | Francesca Pace W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Diletta Cherubini W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Aurora Zantedeschi W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 02/09 | Astrid Cirotte W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/08 | Rebecca Marino US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Barbora Palicova W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 01/08 | Eva Bennemann W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Lucie Havlickova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Anna Bondar US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Nao Hibino US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Moyuka Uchijima US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Elizara Yaneva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Prague |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/08 | Victoria Bervid W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Alycia Parks WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Harmony Tan WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fiona Ferro vs Lucie Havlickova?
Our model gives 65% to Fiona Ferro, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.