Tennis · M15 Leme · 08/09, 16:30

Prediction: Andre Souza vs Gabriel Augusto Carvalho

Team pages: Andre Souza · Gabriel Augusto Carvalho

Prediction summary
Winner
49% 51%
Andre Souza Gabriel Augusto Carvalho
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Andre Souza 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLWLLLW
Gabriel Augusto Carvalho 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Andre Souza 1430 · Gabriel Augusto Carvalho 1474
Andre SouzaGabriel Augusto Carvalho
Our model44%56%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriel Augusto Carvalho (rating 1430 vs 1474).

Statistics

Andre SouzaGabriel Augusto Carvalho
Win %20%40%
Win % · Clay 0% (4) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.5-1.70.8-1.3
Games (G-P)6.3-11.37.6-10
Aces3.50.7
Double faults3.12.5
1st serve %57.5%57%
Break %42.9%41.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Andre Souza

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Bruno Vieira Alves Malacarne Bruno
M15 Leme
2-1 11-9 W
03/09 Joao Eduardo Schiessl
M15 Porto Velho
1-2 11-13 L
10/08 Federico Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
04/08 Nicolas Oliveira
M25 Londrina
0-2 1-12 L
03/08 Kaua Emanuel Pereira Dos Santos
M25 Londrina
2-0 13-7 W
20/07 Ryan Augusto Dos Santos
M25 Sao Paulo
0-2 7-12 L
21/06 Rafael Tosetto
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
08/06 Mauricio Echazu
M15 Brasilia
0-2 3-12 L
18/05 Pedro Andre De Almeida Santos
M15 Maringa Qual · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
11/05 Pedro Andre De Almeida Santos
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Gabriel Augusto Carvalho

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Eric Von Marton Martins
M15 Leme
2-0 12-5 W
04/08 Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
M25 Londrina
0-2 2-12 L
03/08 Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira
M25 Londrina
2-0 12-4 W
20/07 Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava
M25 Sao Paulo
0-2 4-12 L
18/05 Felipe De Dios
M15 Maringa Qual · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
12/05 Tomas Dummer Macedo
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
11/05 Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
2-1 12-10 W
27/11 Nicolas Zanellato
ITF M15 Ribeirao Preto
0-2 7-13 L
25/11 Tomas Luna
ITF M15 Ribeirao Preto
2-0 12-8 W
05/11 Marvin Spiering
ITF M25 Santa Cruz do Sul
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Andre Souza vs Gabriel Augusto Carvalho?

Our model gives 51% to Gabriel Augusto Carvalho, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.