Tennis · M15 Leme · 11/09, 18:30

Prediction: Ryan Dickerson vs Joao Goncalves

Team pages: Ryan Dickerson · Joao Goncalves

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
Ryan Dickerson Joao Goncalves
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Dickerson 3-7 (W-L)
WWLWLLLLLL
Joao Goncalves 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWLWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ryan Dickerson 1454 · Joao Goncalves 1473
Ryan DickersonJoao Goncalves
Our model47%53%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Ryan Dickerson makes many double faults (7.9/match).
  • Note: Joao Goncalves makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Ryan DickersonJoao Goncalves
Win %30%40%
Win % · Clay 33% (6) 38% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.51.2-1.4
Games (G-P)8.8-11.411.1-11.1
Aces31.7
Double faults7.94
1st serve %68.1%66.1%
Break %53.1%46.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ryan Dickerson

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
M15 Leme
2-1 15-9 W
09/08 Aidan Mayo
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
04/08 Naoya Honda
M25 Southaven
0-2 7-13 L
29/07 Mauricio Echazu
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
09/06 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
13/05 Nicolas Kicker
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
11/05 Juan Ignacio Gallego
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
07/05 Joao Eduardo Schiessl
Challenger Santos · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
05/05 Juan Pablo Varillas
Challenger Santos · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
01/05 Juan Sebastian Osorio
M15 Quito · ~Clay
1-2 16-17 L

Joao Goncalves

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Joao Cunha Cunha
M15 Leme
2-0 12-6 W
23/08 Aidan Mayo
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
13/05 Adhithya Ganesan
M25 Pensacola · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
07/05 Ryan Colby
M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay
1-2 15-16 L
06/05 Youssef Kadiri Hassani
M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
30/04 Matthew Segura
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L
29/04 Christian Langmo
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
2-1 16-11 W
23/04 Bastian Malla
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
1-2 8-13 L
22/04 Pedro Rodenas
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
2-1 14-10 W
14/04 Adam Lynch
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
1-2 9-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ryan Dickerson vs Joao Goncalves?

Our model gives 53% to Joao Goncalves, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.