Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 11/09, 20:00

Prediction: Maximilian Wuelfing vs Zach Stephens

Team pages: Maximilian Wuelfing · Zach Stephens

Prediction summary
Winner
67% 33%
Maximilian Wuelfing Zach Stephens
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Maximilian Wuelfing 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLWLLWW
Zach Stephens 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLWLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maximilian Wuelfing 1501 · Zach Stephens 1446
Maximilian WuelfingZach Stephens
Our model58%42%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maximilian Wuelfing (rating 1501 vs 1446).
  • Maximilian Wuelfing is in better form: 50% recent wins.

Statistics

Maximilian WuelfingZach Stephens
Win %50%20%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.30.5-1.6
Games (G-P)11.3-11.37.8-11.9
Aces1.41.3
Double faults2.23.1
1st serve %62.9%59.6%
Break %39.8%52.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maximilian Wuelfing

WLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Pavel Bushuev
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
08/09 JP Day
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
08/09 Andy Nguyen
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
08/01 William Zhang
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
07/01 Vraj Patel
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
06/01 Tal Goodman
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 11-17 L
05/01 Caden Hasler
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 14-10 W
20/12 Andy Nguyen
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
18/12 Maciej Rajski
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
17/12 Matthis Ross
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 16-13 W

Zach Stephens

LLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Andy Nguyen
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
08/09 Pavel Bushuev
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
16/08 Alafia Ayeni
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
11/08 Amit Vales
M15 Turku
0-2 4-12 L
03/08 Oscar Brown
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
02/08 Max Benaim
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
29/07 Michael Agwi
M15 Dublin
0-2 3-12 L
21/07 Alexandre Reco
M15 Rognac
0-2 6-13 L
15/07 Nazim Makhlouf
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
05/07 Dinko Dinev
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
1-2 17-19 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maximilian Wuelfing vs Zach Stephens?

Our model gives 67% to Maximilian Wuelfing, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.