Tennis · M15 Leme · 09/09, 15:00

Prediction: Breno Braga vs Pedro Sakamoto

Team pages: Breno Braga · Pedro Sakamoto

Prediction summary
Winner
25% 75%
Breno Braga Pedro Sakamoto
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Breno Braga 3-7 (W-L)
WLWLWLLLLL
Pedro Sakamoto 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWWLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Breno Braga 1451 · Pedro Sakamoto 1486
Breno BragaPedro Sakamoto
Our model45%55%
Market8%92%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Breno BragaPedro Sakamoto
Win %30%40%
Win % · Clay 40% (5) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.41-1.3
Games (G-P)7.8-10.110.3-11.6
Aces0.83.5
Double faults22.9
1st serve %57.7%62.3%
Break %47.8%36.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Breno Braga

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/09 Eric Von Marton Martins
M15 Porto Velho
0-2 8-13 L
03/08 Victor Bini
M25 Londrina
1-2 7-9 L
20/07 Kaue Noatto
M25 Sao Paulo
0-2 7-12 L
21/06 Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
11/06 Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M15 Brasilia
0-2 5-12 L
09/06 Joao Cunha Cunha
M15 Brasilia
2-0 12-7 W
03/06 Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
01/06 Lucca C Pignaton
M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
12/05 Valentino Conte
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
11/05 Brian Zerwes Tremblay
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Pedro Sakamoto

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida
M25 Londrina
0-1 3-6 L
30/06 Alan Magadan
Challenger Quito · Clay
1-2 14-15 L
18/06 Tanguy Genier
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L
17/06 Andrin Casanova
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
12/06 Oleksii Krutykh
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
11/06 Imanol Lopez Morillo
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
09/06 Mikalai Haliak
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-1 18-15 W
03/06 Kai Wehnelt
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
26/05 Stefan Dostanic
Challenger Kosice · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
25/05 Theo Papamalamis
Challenger Kosice · Clay
2-1 15-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Breno Braga vs Pedro Sakamoto?

Our model gives 75% to Pedro Sakamoto, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.