Tennis · W50 Evora · 09/09, 11:00

Prediction: Maria Martinez Vaquero vs Anastasia Gasanova

Team pages: Maria Martinez Vaquero · Anastasia Gasanova

Prediction summary
Winner
26% 74%
Maria Martinez Vaquero Anastasia Gasanova
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Martinez Vaquero 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLWLLWL
Anastasia Gasanova 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLWLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maria Martinez Vaquero 1470 · Anastasia Gasanova 1524
Maria Martinez VaqueroAnastasia Gasanova
Our model42%58%
Market13%87%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anastasia Gasanova (rating 1470 vs 1524).
  • Note: Maria Martinez Vaquero makes many double faults (5/match).
  • Note: Anastasia Gasanova makes many double faults (5.5/match).

Statistics

Maria Martinez VaqueroAnastasia Gasanova
Win %40%60%
Win % · Grass 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.21.2-1
Games (G-P)8.8-9.410.3-9.4
Aces1.30.6
Double faults55.5
1st serve %60.8%58.9%
Break %51.9%46.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maria Martinez Vaquero

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/08 Zoziya Kardava
W50 Leiria
0-2 3-12 L
30/08 Isabella Marton
W50 Leiria
2-0 12-4 W
11/08 Anna Siskova
W50 Hamburg
0-2 5-12 L
03/08 Tilwith Di Girolami
W75 Koksijde
0-2 5-12 L
02/08 Julie Myatovic
W75 Koksijde
2-0 12-2 W
28/07 Sarah Van Emst
W50 Knokke-Heist
0-2 8-12 L
21/07 Lola Giza
W50 Horb
0-2 6-12 L
17/07 Valeria Savinykh
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
1-2 13-16 L
16/07 Stephanie Judith Visscher
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-6 W
15/07 Nahia Berecoechea
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-6 W

Anastasia Gasanova

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/09 Sofia Johnson
W50 Leiria
0-2 7-12 L
03/09 Matilde Jorge
W50 Leiria
2-0 12-3 W
01/09 Ariana Arseneault
W50 Leiria
2-1 15-9 W
24/08 Madison Brengle
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
15/07 Harmony Tan
WTA Istanbul · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
13/07 Susan Bandecchi
WTA Istanbul · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
01/07 Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
29/06 Emiliana Arango
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-4 W
25/06 Darja Semenistaja
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-6 W
24/06 Emerson Jones
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 17-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maria Martinez Vaquero vs Anastasia Gasanova?

Our model gives 74% to Anastasia Gasanova, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.