Prediction: Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez vs Katie Swan
Team pages: Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez · Katie Swan
Prediction summary
Winner
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Katie Swan
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
3-7 (W-L)
Katie Swan
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 1490 · Katie Swan 1535
| Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | Katie Swan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katie Swan (rating 1490 vs 1535).
Statistics
| Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | Katie Swan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.5 | 11.1-8.7 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 56.8% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 48.2% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Adithya Karunaratne W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Mia Pohankova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Fernanda Labrana W75 Vacaria |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Oceane Babel W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Francesca Mattioli W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Luciana Perry W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Katie Swan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Mary Stoiana US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Katrina Scott US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Madison Keys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Irina-Camelia Begu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Tereza Martincova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Taylah Preston WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Kyoka Okamura W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/05 | Mei Yamaguchi W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/05 | Sara Saito W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez vs Katie Swan?
Our model gives 74% to Katie Swan, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.