Tennis · W50 Evora · 08/09, 11:00

Prediction: Malaika Rapolu vs Paula Cembranos

Team pages: Malaika Rapolu · Paula Cembranos

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
Malaika Rapolu Paula Cembranos
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Malaika Rapolu 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWWLWWL
Paula Cembranos 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Malaika Rapolu 1552 · Paula Cembranos 1553
Malaika RapoluPaula Cembranos
Our model50%50%
Market87%13%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Paula Cembranos makes many double faults (7.4/match).

Statistics

Malaika RapoluPaula Cembranos
Win %70%80%
Win % · Hard 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.61.7-0.8
Games (G-P)10.9-7.213.4-9.9
Aces1.50.7
Double faults2.87.4
1st serve %64.3%61.9%
Break %52.9%48.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Malaika Rapolu

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/09 Linda Fruhvirtova
W50 Leiria
1-2 14-13 L
03/09 Angelina Voloshchuk
W50 Leiria
2-0 13-5 W
02/09 Mika Stojsavljevic
W50 Leiria
1-0 7-5 W
06/08 Madison Sieg
W100 Landisville
0-2 5-12 L
30/07 Kylie Collins
W75 Lexington
1-2 10-15 L
29/07 Mia Slama
W75 Lexington
2-0 12-4 W
26/07 Hina Inoue
W35 Santa Fe
2-0 12-2 W
25/07 Angelina Voloshchuk
W35 Santa Fe
2-0 12-6 W
24/07 Mayu Crossley
W35 Santa Fe
2-0 12-6 W
23/07 Carolina Gomez
W35 Santa Fe
2-0 12-4 W

Paula Cembranos

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Zoziya Kardava
W50 Evora
2-1 19-13 W
06/09 Ekaterina Yashina
W50 Evora
2-0 12-3 W
22/08 Zoziya Kardava
W15 Logrono
1-2 13-15 L
21/08 Jenna Defalco
W15 Logrono
2-0 13-8 W
20/08 Zi Ying Ruan
W15 Logrono
2-1 17-16 W
18/08 Iveta Dapkute
W15 Logrono
2-1 18-13 W
07/08 Ella Mcdonald
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
06/08 Lina Glushko
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 10-3 W
04/08 Mio Mushika
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-1 18-11 W
03/08 Mia Wainwright
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 13-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Malaika Rapolu vs Paula Cembranos?

Our model gives 70% to Malaika Rapolu, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.