Tennis · W50 Evora · 09/09, 11:00

Prediction: Elena Micic vs Xinyu Gao

Team pages: Elena Micic · Xinyu Gao

Prediction summary
Winner
31% 69%
Elena Micic Xinyu Gao
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Elena Micic 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWLLWLWL
Xinyu Gao 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Elena Micic 1495 · Xinyu Gao 1540
Elena MicicXinyu Gao
Our model44%56%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xinyu Gao (rating 1495 vs 1540).
  • Note: Elena Micic makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Elena MicicXinyu Gao
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (8) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1-1.11.2-0.8
Games (G-P)10.4-10.18.8-7.5
Aces1.31.2
Double faults4.11.6
1st serve %62%65.3%
Break %54.6%48.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Elena Micic

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Caroline Werner
W50 Leiria
0-2 9-13 L
02/09 Polina Isakova
W50 Leiria
2-0 12-5 W
03/08 Veronika Podrez
WTA Warsaw · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
02/08 Georgina Garcia-Perez
WTA Warsaw · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
18/07 Linda Fruhvirtova
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
15/07 Qinwen Zheng
WTA Athens · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
13/07 Martha Matoula
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
12/07 Anastasia Kulikova
WTA Athens · Hard
2-1 15-13 W
11/07 Makoto Ninomiya
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
02/07 Han Shi
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L

Xinyu Gao

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/08 Barbora Palicova
W75 Bytom
0-2 2-12 L
27/08 Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
W75 Bytom
2-0 12-8 W
26/08 Zongyu Li
W75 Bytom
2-0 12-1 W
22/08 Jana Kovackova
W50 Prague
0-2 2-12 L
21/08 Yelyzaveta Kotliar
W50 Prague
2-0 12-3 W
19/08 Mayuka Aikawa
W50 Prague
2-0 12-0 W
18/08 Julia Adams
W50 Prague
2-0 13-8 W
06/08 Britt Du Pree
W75 Ourense
0-2 5-12 L
05/08 Maria Toma
W75 Ourense
2-0 12-7 W
21/07 Lilli Tagger
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Elena Micic vs Xinyu Gao?

Our model gives 69% to Xinyu Gao, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.