Tennis · M25 Plaisir · 08/09, 12:30
Prediction: Alex Knaff vs Karl Friberg
Team pages: Alex Knaff · Karl Friberg
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Knaff
Karl Friberg
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Knaff
2-8 (W-L)
Karl Friberg
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Knaff 1481 · Karl Friberg 1562
| Alex Knaff | Karl Friberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karl Friberg (rating 1481 vs 1562).
- Karl Friberg is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alex Knaff | Karl Friberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-12 | 10.6-7.1 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 56% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Knaff
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Raphael Perot M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Fares Zakaria M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Guillaume Dalmasso M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Juan Carlos Aguilar M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 21/07 | Conor Gannon M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Kyle Mckay UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 12/05 | Nicola Cigna UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Millen Hurrion M25 Nottingham |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 05/05 | Toby Martin M25 Nottingham |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 22/04 | Emile Hudd M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Karl Friberg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Leo Borg M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Melvin Kumar M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-0 | W |
| 16/08 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Malmo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Nikola Slavic M15 Malmo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/08 | Victor Ryden M15 Malmo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Kevin Edengren M15 Malmo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/07 | Petr Nesterov M25 Gentofte |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 30/07 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Lenn Luemkemann M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Knaff vs Karl Friberg?
Our model gives 51% to Karl Friberg, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.