Tennis · M25 Plaisir · 09/09, 10:00

Prediction: Daniel De Jonge vs Adan Freire Da Silva

Team pages: Daniel De Jonge · Adan Freire Da Silva

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Daniel De Jonge Adan Freire Da Silva
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel De Jonge 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWLWLWL
Adan Freire Da Silva 2-8 (W-L)
WLLLLLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Daniel De Jonge 1514 · Adan Freire Da Silva 1457
Daniel De JongeAdan Freire Da Silva
Our model58%42%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel De Jonge (rating 1514 vs 1457).
  • Note: Daniel De Jonge makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Daniel De JongeAdan Freire Da Silva
Win %50%30%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.3-10.7-1.5
Games (G-P)10.8-109.3-11.3
Aces5.21.9
Double faults4.82
1st serve %71.3%62.2%
Break %51.2%45.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Daniel De Jonge

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/08 Robert Strombachs
M15 Warsaw
0-2 5-12 L
12/08 Barney Fitzpatrick
M15 Warsaw
2-0 12-0 W
05/08 Izan Almazan Valiente
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
1-2 11-17 L
04/08 Valentin Gonzalez-Galino
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
01/08 Conor Gannon
M15 Dublin
0-2 10-13 L
31/07 Roan Jones
M15 Dublin
2-0 12-7 W
30/07 Daniel Borisov
M15 Dublin
2-0 12-6 W
29/07 Milosz Sroka
M15 Dublin
2-0 12-5 W
12/07 Dimitar Kuzmanov
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
08/07 Yi Zhou
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
1-2 9-18 L

Adan Freire Da Silva

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Matisse Bobichon
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
0-2 9-13 L
04/08 Henri Haupt
M15 Frankfurt
2-0 12-7 W
29/07 Tristan Berard
M15 Strasbourg
1-2 15-16 L
21/07 Vito Dell'Elba
M15 Segrate
0-2 6-12 L
14/07 Alessio Basile
M25 Uriage
0-2 6-13 L
01/07 Emilien Demanet
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
30/06 Lorenzo Balducci
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
2-1 18-14 W
24/06 Dylan Dietrich
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
15/06 Gerard Campana Lee
Challenger Royan · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
14/06 Jordan Coudret
Challenger Royan · Clay
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Daniel De Jonge vs Adan Freire Da Silva?

Our model gives 68% to Daniel De Jonge, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.