Prediction: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Bernardo Munk Mesa
Team pages: Mario Arce Fernandez · Bernardo Munk Mesa
Prediction summary
Winner
Mario Arce Fernandez
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mario Arce Fernandez
6-4 (W-L)
Bernardo Munk Mesa
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mario Arce Fernandez 1504 · Bernardo Munk Mesa 1484
| Mario Arce Fernandez | Bernardo Munk Mesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Bernardo Munk Mesa makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Mario Arce Fernandez | Bernardo Munk Mesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-9.5 | 9.8-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mario Arce Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Madrid |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Boris Butulija M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Ognjen Jagrovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Dmitry Bessonov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Ognjen Jagrovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Xavier Ferrer Mateo M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Denia |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Madrid |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 03/09 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Carles Cordoba M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Michiel de Krom M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Santander |
1-1 | 8-9 | L |
| 18/08 | Yanaki Milev M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 4-8 | L |
| 19/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mario Arce Fernandez vs Bernardo Munk Mesa?
Our model gives 57% to Bernardo Munk Mesa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.