Prediction: Juan Ignacio Gallego vs Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Team pages: Juan Ignacio Gallego · Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Ignacio Gallego
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Ignacio Gallego
5-5 (W-L)
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Ignacio Gallego
1–0
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
(1 last)
- 18 Nov2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Ignacio Gallego 1503 · Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento 1474
| Juan Ignacio Gallego | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Juan Ignacio Gallego 1–0 Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento (1).
Statistics
| Juan Ignacio Gallego | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.6 | 9.3-9.7 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Juan Ignacio Gallego 1 – 0 Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Ignacio Gallego 1–0 Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/25 M25 Antalya | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Ignacio Gallego
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M15 Madrid |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Pablo Aunion M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Manuel Plunger M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Corentin Denolly M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Daniel Bien M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Luc Wieland M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Nocolas A Jara Lozano UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Santiago Lora UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Andres Medus UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/07 | Santiago Franchini UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Jorge Lopez Dominguez M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Jose Dominguez Alonso M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/08 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M25 Santander |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Carles Hernandez M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Jose Dominguez Alonso M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Denia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Ignacio Gallego vs Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento?
Our model gives 55% to Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.