Tennis · M25 Gijon · 08/09, 09:30

Prediction: Pablo Aunion vs Theodore Dean

Team pages: Pablo Aunion · Theodore Dean

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Pablo Aunion Theodore Dean
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Pablo Aunion 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWLWLWLL
Theodore Dean 4-6 (W-L)
WWLWLWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pablo Aunion 1460 · Theodore Dean 1490
Pablo AunionTheodore Dean
Our model46%54%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Pablo AunionTheodore Dean
Win %30%50%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.41.1-1.1
Games (G-P)8.8-11.29.8-11.1
Aces3.51.1
Double faults3.92.1
1st serve %59.7%62.3%
Break %33.9%33.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pablo Aunion

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Juan Ignacio Gallego
M15 Madrid
1-2 9-15 L
25/08 Yaroslav Demin
M25 Oviedo
0-2 2-12 L
24/08 Noah Regas
M25 Oviedo
2-0 14-11 W
18/08 Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Santander
0-2 7-13 L
17/08 Keanu Elias Immler
M25 Santander
2-0 12-5 W
15/07 Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
M25 Gandia
0-2 4-12 L
14/07 Mustapha El Natour
M25 Gandia
2-0 12-4 W
06/07 Hamish Stewart
M25 Roda de Bara
0-2 6-13 L
29/06 Rodrigo Fernandes
M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard
1-2 11-11 L
17/06 Sergi Perez Contri
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
1-2 11-16 L

Theodore Dean

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Martin Van Der Meerschen
M15 Madrid
0-2 6-12 L
25/08 Samuele Pieri
M25 Maribor
0-2 3-12 L
21/08 Marcel Zielinski
M15 Mistelbach
1-2 10-18 L
20/08 Luc Wieland
M15 Mistelbach
2-1 15-14 W
19/08 Aadarsh Tripathi
M15 Mistelbach
2-0 12-7 W
09/07 Stian Klaassen
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
0-2 7-12 L
08/07 Bryce Nakashima
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
2-0 12-6 W
03/07 Aidan Kim
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
02/07 Rafael De Alba
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
01/07 Rudy Quan
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pablo Aunion vs Theodore Dean?

Our model gives 57% to Theodore Dean, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.