Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 09/09, 10:00
Prediction: Maxime Janvier vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Team pages: Maxime Janvier · Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxime Janvier
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Maxime Janvier
4-6 (W-L)
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maxime Janvier
1–0
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
(1 last)
- 09 Mar2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxime Janvier 1490 · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 1537
| Maxime Janvier | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanis Ghazouani Durand (rating 1490 vs 1537).
- Yanis Ghazouani Durand is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Maxime Janvier 1–0 Yanis Ghazouani Durand (1).
- Note: Maxime Janvier makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Yanis Ghazouani Durand makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Maxime Janvier | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12.9 | 11.9-9.2 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 42% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Maxime Janvier 1 – 0 Yanis Ghazouani Durand (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maxime Janvier 1–0 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/26 Challenger Cherbourg | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxime Janvier
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 31/08 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Daniele Rapagnetta M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 27/07 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 26/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 12/07 | Giammarco Gandolfi Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/09 | Gray Voelzke Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Szymon Kielan Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 25/07 | Nicolas Parizzia M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 24/07 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Peter Buldorini M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Gabriele Crivellaro M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/07 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Arthur Bellegy M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Pablo Pradat M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxime Janvier vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand?
Our model gives 53% to Yanis Ghazouani Durand, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.