Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 09/09, 10:00
Prediction: Benjamin Pietri vs Mathys Erhard
Team pages: Benjamin Pietri · Mathys Erhard
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin Pietri
Mathys Erhard
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Pietri
4-6 (W-L)
Mathys Erhard
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Benjamin Pietri
0–1
Mathys Erhard
(1 last)
- 23 Nov0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin Pietri 1521 · Mathys Erhard 1552
| Benjamin Pietri | Mathys Erhard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Mathys Erhard dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 52.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Benjamin Pietri 0–1 Mathys Erhard (1).
- Note: Benjamin Pietri makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Mathys Erhard makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Benjamin Pietri | Mathys Erhard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-11.7 | 14.3-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 75.4% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
H2H · Benjamin Pietri 0 – 1 Mathys Erhard (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Benjamin Pietri 0–1 Mathys Erhard
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/20 ITF M15 Benicarlo | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin Pietri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Hugo Car Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 06/09 | Peter Makk Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Alexandre Reco M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Adhithya Ganesan M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 06/08 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 05/08 | Alafia Ayeni M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Julio Cesar Porras M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
Mathys Erhard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Charles Broom Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 31/08 | Anton Shepp Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 07/08 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Olaf Pieczkowski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Jan Kumstat M25 Ollersbach |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin Pietri vs Mathys Erhard?
Our model gives 68% to Mathys Erhard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.