Tennis · W15 Viserba Di Rimini · 09/09, 10:00
Prediction: Sara Milanese vs Marta Lombardini
Team pages: Sara Milanese · Marta Lombardini
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Milanese
Marta Lombardini
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Milanese
4-6 (W-L)
Marta Lombardini
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Milanese 1465 · Marta Lombardini 1523
| Sara Milanese | Marta Lombardini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marta Lombardini (rating 1465 vs 1523).
- Note: Sara Milanese makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Sara Milanese | Marta Lombardini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10.5 | 11.3-9.6 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 57.8% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 65.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Milanese
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Eva Marie Voracek W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Rada Koleva W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Chloe Noel W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 27/07 | Kristina Paskauskas W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Rosie Cho W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Chelsea Fontenel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Emily Sartz-Lunde W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Yasmin Ezzat W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Polina Iatcenko W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Marta Lombardini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Agnese Gentili W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Allegra Fiorani W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 20/08 | Camilla Zanolini W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Alexandra Irina Anghel W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Beatrice Ricci W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Miriana Tona W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Irina Balus W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Milanese vs Marta Lombardini?
Our model gives 72% to Marta Lombardini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.