Tennis · W15 Viserba Di Rimini · 10/09, 12:00
Prediction: Sofia Shapatava vs Chiara Fornasieri
Team pages: Sofia Shapatava · Chiara Fornasieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofia Shapatava
Chiara Fornasieri
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Shapatava
4-6 (W-L)
Chiara Fornasieri
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofia Shapatava 1538 · Chiara Fornasieri 1524
| Sofia Shapatava | Chiara Fornasieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sofia Shapatava | Chiara Fornasieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.5 | 9.9-8.5 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 57.5% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 57.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofia Shapatava
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Alja Senica W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/09 | Francesca Gandolfi W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Daniela Vismane W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Cecilia Manitto W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Laura Mair W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Polina Leykina W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Karolina Mrazikova W35 Krakow |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Daria Kuczer W35 Bydgoszcz |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/08 | Gaia Maduzzi W35 Bydgoszcz |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Yasmine Mansouri W35 Bydgoszcz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Chiara Fornasieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Michaela Bayerlova W15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Anna-Lena Ebster W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Anna Orlando Pellicero W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Oriana Gniewkowska W15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Katarzyna Wysoczanska W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Ingrid Vojcinakova W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/06 | Giulia Safina Popa W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Sara Victoria Balan W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofia Shapatava vs Chiara Fornasieri?
Our model gives 59% to Sofia Shapatava, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.