Tennis · W15 Viserba Di Rimini · 09/09, 10:00
Prediction: Sofia Shapatava vs Alja Senica
Team pages: Sofia Shapatava · Alja Senica
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofia Shapatava
Alja Senica
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Shapatava
4-6 (W-L)
Alja Senica
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofia Shapatava 1511 · Alja Senica 1591
| Sofia Shapatava | Alja Senica | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alja Senica (rating 1511 vs 1591).
- Alja Senica is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Sofia Shapatava | Alja Senica | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.5 | 11.4-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 57.5% | 57.7% |
| Break % | 53.1% | 63.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofia Shapatava
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Francesca Gandolfi W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Daniela Vismane W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Cecilia Manitto W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Laura Mair W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Polina Leykina W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Karolina Mrazikova W35 Krakow |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Daria Kuczer W35 Bydgoszcz |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/08 | Gaia Maduzzi W35 Bydgoszcz |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Yasmine Mansouri W35 Bydgoszcz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Margaux Maquet W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Alja Senica
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Melinda Biro W15 Pecs |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Klara Blazkova W15 Pecs |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Maria Andrienko W15 Pecs |
1-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W35 Trieste |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 02/08 | Sara Mikaca W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Stefania Bojica W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Federica Trevisan W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Ela Plosnik W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Vicky Van De Peer W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/07 | Maria Garcia Cid W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofia Shapatava vs Alja Senica?
Our model gives 57% to Alja Senica.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.