Prediction: Michiel de Krom vs Toprak Avcibasi
Team pages: Michiel de Krom · Toprak Avcibasi
Prediction summary
Winner
Michiel de Krom
Toprak Avcibasi
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Michiel de Krom
6-4 (W-L)
Toprak Avcibasi
1-9 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Michiel de Krom
1–0
Toprak Avcibasi
(1 last)
- 03 Dec2-0 11-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michiel de Krom 1493 · Toprak Avcibasi 1391
| Michiel de Krom | Toprak Avcibasi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michiel de Krom (rating 1493 vs 1391).
- Michiel de Krom is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Michiel de Krom 1–0 Toprak Avcibasi (1).
- Note: Toprak Avcibasi makes many double faults (10.6/match).
Statistics
| Michiel de Krom | Toprak Avcibasi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.4-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.6 | 6.6-12.3 |
| Aces | 1 | 0 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 10.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 51.5% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Michiel de Krom 1 – 0 Toprak Avcibasi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Michiel de Krom 1–0 Toprak Avcibasi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12/25 M15 Madrid | 2-0 | 11-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michiel de Krom
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Madrid |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Roberto Perez Socas M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Luke Bollinger M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/08 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Louis Wessels M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Elijah Sanogo M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Denia |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Toprak Avcibasi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Aaron Paul Samson M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Maximilian Figl M15 Malmo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Sven Corbinais M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Eric Vanshelboim M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Amaan Siddiqui M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 17/02 | Pablo Aunion M15 Villena · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/12 | Aleksander Chayka M15 Ceuta · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/12 | Michiel de Krom M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michiel de Krom vs Toprak Avcibasi?
Our model gives 78% to Michiel de Krom, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.