Prediction: Carles Rojas vs Sander Jong
Team pages: Carles Rojas · Sander Jong
Prediction summary
Winner
Carles Rojas
Sander Jong
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Carles Rojas
4-6 (W-L)
Sander Jong
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carles Rojas 1474 · Sander Jong 1595
| Carles Rojas | Sander Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 7% | 93% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sander Jong (rating 1474 vs 1595).
- Sander Jong is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Carles Rojas | Sander Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-10.1 | 12.8-7.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 76% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carles Rojas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Marc Vives Martinez M15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Giovanni Ciocca M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Nicolas Robert M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Matei Sucu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Batiste Guerra M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou M25 Pitesti |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Gheorghe Claudiu Schinteie M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Isaac Becroft M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Sander Jong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Deney Wassermann M15 Haren |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Pieter De Lange M15 Haren |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/09 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Haren |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Stan Put M15 Haren |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Pranav Karthik M15 Haren |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Luca Wiedenmann M25 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/08 | Lucio Ratti M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Manvydas Balciunas M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carles Rojas vs Sander Jong?
Our model gives 81% to Sander Jong, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.