Tennis · M25 Gijon · 08/09, 14:00

Prediction: Alejandro Garcia vs Ivan Lopez Martos

Team pages: Alejandro Garcia

Prediction summary
Winner
80% 20%
Alejandro Garcia Ivan Lopez Martos
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Garcia 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWWLLWWL
Ivan Lopez Martos 4-6 (W-L)
LWWWLLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alejandro Garcia 1526 · Ivan Lopez Martos 1402
Alejandro GarciaIvan Lopez Martos
Our model67%33%
Market91%9%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Garcia (rating 1526 vs 1402).
  • Alejandro Garcia is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Alejandro GarciaIvan Lopez Martos
Win %60%10%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 0% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.2-10.5-1.8
Games (G-P)11-9.78-13.2
Aces1.20.6
Double faults3.82.6
1st serve %67.2%58.2%
Break %48.9%43.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alejandro Garcia

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/09 Pedro Rodenas
M15 Madrid
0-2 6-12 L
03/09 Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
M15 Madrid
2-0 12-6 W
02/09 Xavi Palomar
M15 Madrid
2-0 13-8 W
26/08 Pedro Rodenas
M25 Oviedo
0-2 11-14 L
25/08 Javier Barranco Cosano
M25 Oviedo
2-1 14-14 W
24/08 Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani
M25 Oviedo
2-0 12-4 W
23/08 Marc Ros Mesas
M25 Oviedo
2-0 12-1 W
18/08 Alejandro Juan Mano
M25 Santander
0-2 7-12 L
04/07 Oscar Jose Gutierrez
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
03/07 Pedro Rodenas
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 17-14 W

Ivan Lopez Martos

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Marc Ros Mesas
M25 Gijon
2-0 12-5 W
17/08 Sergio Planella Hernandez
M25 Santander
0-2 6-12 L
09/06 Pablo Hermoso
M25 Martos · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
27/04 Alejandro Lopez Escribano
M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
30/03 Diego Dedura-Palomero
Challenger Menorca · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
13/09 Dorian Kos
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
12/09 Tomas Luis
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
1-2 15-17 L
11/09 Liam Oliver
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
1-2 10-18 L
10/09 Raghav Jaisinghani
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
1-2 12-19 L
08/09 Dylan Waldorf Martin
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alejandro Garcia vs Ivan Lopez Martos?

Our model gives 80% to Alejandro Garcia, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.