Tennis · WTA Montreux · 09/09, 11:00
Prediction: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Alina Granwehr
Team pages: Lucie Nguyen Tan · Alina Granwehr
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucie Nguyen Tan
Alina Granwehr
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lucie Nguyen Tan
4-6 (W-L)
Alina Granwehr
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucie Nguyen Tan
2–1
Alina Granwehr
(3 last)
- 17 Jun2-0 12-3W
- 09 Jun2-0 12-5W
- 30 May1-2 16-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucie Nguyen Tan 1521 · Alina Granwehr 1511
| Lucie Nguyen Tan | Alina Granwehr | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lucie Nguyen Tan 2–1 Alina Granwehr (3).
- Note: Alina Granwehr makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Lucie Nguyen Tan | Alina Granwehr | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11 | 13.7-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 54.2% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 55.4% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Lucie Nguyen Tan 2 – 1 Alina Granwehr (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucie Nguyen Tan 2–1 Alina Granwehr
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/26 W75 Blois | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/06/24 W15 Madrid | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/05/23 ITF W25 Annenheim | 1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucie Nguyen Tan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Amandine Monnot WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 03/09 | Francesca Pace W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Laura Hietaranta W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Barbora Palicova W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Alba Rey Garcia W75 Koksijde |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/08 | Maria Andrienko W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Horb |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 06/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Yana Morderger WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Alina Granwehr
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Anja Stankovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 18/08 | Giorgia Pedone W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Laima Vladson W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Gyeong Seo Lee W50 Horb |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Aurora Zantedeschi W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Camilla Gennaro W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Federica Trevisan W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Alina Granwehr?
Our model gives 57% to Alina Granwehr, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.