Tennis · W50 Guiyang · 09/09, 04:00
Prediction: Sara Saito vs Xinxin Yao
Team pages: Sara Saito · Xinxin Yao
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Saito
Xinxin Yao
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Saito
7-3 (W-L)
Xinxin Yao
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sara Saito
1–2
Xinxin Yao
(3 last)
- 28 Apr1-2 13-18L
- 24 Aug2-0 12-5W
- 16 Jun0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Saito 1490 · Xinxin Yao 1476
| Sara Saito | Xinxin Yao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Sara Saito 1–2 Xinxin Yao (3).
- Note: Sara Saito makes many double faults (10.1/match).
Statistics
| Sara Saito | Xinxin Yao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.4 | 9.3-10 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 10.1 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 56.6% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 52.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Sara Saito 1 – 2 Xinxin Yao (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sara Saito 1–2 Xinxin Yao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/26 WTA Huzhou | 1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 24/08/23 ITF W40 Hong Kong | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06/22 W15 Monastir | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Saito
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Viktoria Morvayova W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 31/07 | Kylie Collins W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Erika Sema W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Luciana Perry W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Kayla Cross W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Cadence Brace W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Kayo Nishimura W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Xinxin Yao
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Anastasia Kulikova W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Rasheeda McAdoo W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Ida Wobker W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Nastasja Schunk W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Dayeon Back W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Lola Giza W50 Horb |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sophie Triquart W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Francesca Curmi W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Diana Martynov W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Isabel Skoog W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Saito vs Xinxin Yao?
Our model gives 56% to Sara Saito.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.