Tennis · W50 Guiyang · 09/09, 04:00
Prediction: Fangran Tian vs Han Shi
Team pages: Fangran Tian · Han Shi
Prediction summary
Winner
Fangran Tian
Han Shi
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Fangran Tian
5-5 (W-L)
Han Shi
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fangran Tian 1500 · Han Shi 1585
| Fangran Tian | Han Shi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Han Shi (rating 1500 vs 1585).
- Han Shi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Han Shi makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Fangran Tian | Han Shi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.8 | 12.8-7.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 60.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fangran Tian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Patcharin Cheapchandej W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 02/09 | Zongyu Li W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Mayu Crossley W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Savannah Broadus W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Kylie Collins W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Amandine Hesse W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 25/06 | Viola Turini W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Belle Thompson W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Han Shi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Darya Astakhova W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Haruka Kaji W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Rina Saigo W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Jiangxue Han W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/08 | Vaishnavi Adkar W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/08 | Jia-Jing Lu W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Yingqun Sun W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Shiyu Ye W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Martyna Kubka W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Ruien Zhang W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fangran Tian vs Han Shi?
Our model gives 60% to Han Shi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.