Tennis · W50 Guiyang · 08/09, 04:00
Prediction: Yuki Naito vs Alexandra Shubladze
Team pages: Yuki Naito · Alexandra Shubladze
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuki Naito
Alexandra Shubladze
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Yuki Naito
6-4 (W-L)
Alexandra Shubladze
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuki Naito 1466 · Alexandra Shubladze 1553
| Yuki Naito | Alexandra Shubladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Shubladze (rating 1466 vs 1553).
- Alexandra Shubladze is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Yuki Naito makes many double faults (10.5/match).
Statistics
| Yuki Naito | Alexandra Shubladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12.2 | 12.6-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 10.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 56.2% | 51% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuki Naito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Darya Astakhova W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Renata Zarazua W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 23/07 | Fiona Crawley W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Madison Brengle W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/07 | BoYoung Jeong W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Sara Saito W75 Granby |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Audrey Spencer W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Aishi Das W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Mio Mushika W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Alexandra Shubladze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Darja Semenistaja US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Isabella Shinikova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Alina Korneeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 03/06 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Hina Inoue W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/05 | Han Shi W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/05 | Zongyu Li W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Hikaru Sato W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuki Naito vs Alexandra Shubladze?
Our model gives 74% to Alexandra Shubladze, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.