Tennis · W50 Guiyang · 09/09, 04:00
Prediction: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Kyoka Okamura
Team pages: Daria Khomutsianskaya · Kyoka Okamura
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Khomutsianskaya
Kyoka Okamura
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Khomutsianskaya
3-7 (W-L)
Kyoka Okamura
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Khomutsianskaya 1520 · Kyoka Okamura 1399
| Daria Khomutsianskaya | Kyoka Okamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daria Khomutsianskaya (rating 1520 vs 1399).
- Daria Khomutsianskaya is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Daria Khomutsianskaya makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Daria Khomutsianskaya | Kyoka Okamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.5-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.1 | 8.4-13.4 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 53.6% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Khomutsianskaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Joanna Garland W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 11/08 | Yuliya Hatouka W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 07/08 | Rina Saigo W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Oceane Dodin W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Elyse Tse W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Ying Zhang WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
Kyoka Okamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Kristiana Sidorova W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Susan Bandecchi W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Hiromi Abe W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Varvara Panshina W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Hiromi Abe W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/06 | Yanan Hou W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 20/05 | Valentina Ryser W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Kyoka Okamura?
Our model gives 66% to Daria Khomutsianskaya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.