Tennis · M15 Nonthaburi · 09/09, 05:00
Prediction: Chen Dong vs Dev Javia
Team pages: Chen Dong · Dev Javia
Prediction summary
Winner
Chen Dong
Dev Javia
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Chen Dong
3-7 (W-L)
Dev Javia
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chen Dong 1431 · Dev Javia 1652
| Chen Dong | Dev Javia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 78% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dev Javia (rating 1431 vs 1652).
- Dev Javia is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Chen Dong | Dev Javia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 14% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.5 | 2-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.6-10.1 | 13-7.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 56.4% | 73% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 58.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chen Dong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Manish Sureshkumar M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Adrian Arcon M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/04 | Emile Hudd M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Sergey Petrov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Fanming Meng M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/01 | Remy Dugardin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 26/12 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 2-6 | L |
Dev Javia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Chirag Duhan M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 05/09 | Conor Gannon M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Michal Krajci M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/09 | Marwan Ehab M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Aaron Funk M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/08 | Yassine Smiej M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Michal Krajci M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Vadym Ursu M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chen Dong vs Dev Javia?
Our model gives 79% to Dev Javia, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.