Tennis · M15 Nonthaburi · 09/09, 05:00

Prediction: Adrian Arcon vs Markus Malaszszak

Team pages: Adrian Arcon · Markus Malaszszak

Prediction summary
Winner
34% 66%
Adrian Arcon Markus Malaszszak
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Arcon 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLWLLWLL
Markus Malaszszak 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Adrian Arcon 1495 · Markus Malaszszak 1500
Adrian ArconMarkus Malaszszak
Our model49%51%
Market22%78%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Adrian ArconMarkus Malaszszak
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (6) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.21.2-1.1
Games (G-P)7.7-9.611.1-10.4
Aces4.14.5
Double faults2.53.2
1st serve %61%71.2%
Break %31.3%52.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Adrian Arcon

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Chen Dong
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
31/08 Yuki Ikeda
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-1 10-11 W
30/08 Tachatam Srisen
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
13/08 Fanming Meng
M15 Tianjin
0-2 6-12 L
12/08 Shintaro Imai
M15 Tianjin
2-1 15-14 W
11/08 Yuquan Jin
M15 Tianjin
1-0 6-1 W
28/07 Elijah Cham
M15 Brisbane
0-2 5-12 L
03/06 Hiromasa Koyama
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
01/06 Leo Hsu
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
20/05 Robert Strombachs
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L

Markus Malaszszak

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Moerani Bouzige
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
1-2 13-15 L
02/09 Krittin Koaykul
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
11/08 Adrian Oetzbach
M15 Trier
0-2 7-12 L
25/06 Oleksii Krutykh
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
24/06 Marcel Volz
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
18/06 Marc Majdandzic
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-1 18-13 W
16/06 Tom Zeuch
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-0 12-9 W
03/06 Fons Van Sambeek
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
1-2 14-16 L
14/05 Isaac Becroft
M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
13/05 Rishabdev Raman
M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Adrian Arcon vs Markus Malaszszak?

Our model gives 66% to Markus Malaszszak, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.