Tennis · M15 Bali · 08/09, 05:00

Prediction: Stefan Menichella vs Arjun Rathi

Team pages: Stefan Menichella · Arjun Rathi

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Stefan Menichella Arjun Rathi
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Stefan Menichella 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLLWLLWW
Arjun Rathi 2-8 (W-L)
LLWLLWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stefan Menichella 1422 · Arjun Rathi 1442
Stefan MenichellaArjun Rathi
Our model47%53%
Market51%49%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Stefan MenichellaArjun Rathi
Win %20%30%
Win % · Hard 13% (8) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.60.7-1.5
Games (G-P)9.5-10.29-11.8
Aces5.13.2
Double faults1.73
1st serve %66.4%63.4%
Break %45.4%43%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stefan Menichella

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/08 Eric Ahren Moonga
M15 Bali
1-2 9-9 L
30/08 Renaldi Aqila A Salim
M15 Bali
2-0 12-1 W
30/06 Vit Kalina
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
17/03 Daniil Kakhniuk
M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
25/01 Rohan Sachdev
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
24/01 Maciej Rajski
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 15-13 L
21/01 David Duong
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
20/01 Avner Wong
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
19/01 Brody Nejedly-Krall
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
19/11 Garrett Johns
ITF M25 Austin · Hard
1-2 10-12 L

Arjun Rathi

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/09 Thomas Patton
M15 Bali
0-2 8-13 L
29/07 Rafalentino Ali Da Costa
M15 Bali
1-2 15-17 L
23/07 Ryotaro Taguchi
M15 Bali
0-2 7-12 L
21/07 Chan-Yeong Oh
M15 Bali
2-1 14-13 W
20/05 Yash Chaurasia
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
13/05 Aaron Funk
M25 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
07/05 Karim Ibrahim
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
06/05 Grigory Shebekin
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
29/04 Roman Kharlamov
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
28/03 Leo Borg
M15 Ahmedabad · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stefan Menichella vs Arjun Rathi?

Our model gives 50% to Stefan Menichella, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.