Tennis · M15 Bali · 11/09, 04:00
Prediction: Alexander Chang vs Pablo Perez Ramos
Team pages: Alexander Chang · Pablo Perez Ramos
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Chang
Pablo Perez Ramos
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Chang
6-4 (W-L)
Pablo Perez Ramos
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Chang 1594 · Pablo Perez Ramos 1557
| Alexander Chang | Pablo Perez Ramos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Pablo Perez Ramos dominates on serve: 8 aces and 42.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Alexander Chang | Pablo Perez Ramos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-9.1 | 13.3-11.1 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 8 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 74.9% |
| Break % | 30.5% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Chang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Leo Borg M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Reece Falck M15 Bali |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Leo Borg M15 Bali |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Mathieu Perchicot ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/08 | Anthony Susanto ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/08 | Vadym Konovchuk ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Arjun Mehrotra ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Igor Kolaric ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Abhishek Bastola ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Bali |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Pablo Perez Ramos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Arjun Mehrotra M15 Bali |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Corban Crowther M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Hugo Coquelin M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Vincent Reisach M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Thomas Drayton M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Markus Molder M15 Dublin |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Tiago Cacao M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Diogo Morais M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Chang vs Pablo Perez Ramos?
Our model gives 53% to Alexander Chang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.