Prediction: Alexander Chang vs Reece Falck
Team pages: Alexander Chang · Reece Falck
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Chang
Reece Falck
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Chang
6-4 (W-L)
Reece Falck
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Chang 1593 · Reece Falck 1457
| Alexander Chang | Reece Falck | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Chang (rating 1593 vs 1457).
- Alexander Chang is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alexander Chang | Reece Falck | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (6) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-10 | 8.6-11.1 |
| Aces | 7.5 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.5% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 30.8% | 40.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Chang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Leo Borg M15 Bali |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Mathieu Perchicot ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/08 | Anthony Susanto ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/08 | Vadym Konovchuk ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Arjun Mehrotra ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Igor Kolaric ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Abhishek Bastola ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Bali |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Shanker Heisnam M15 Bali |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M15 Bali |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Reece Falck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Blake Ellis M15 Bali |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Emon Van Loben Sels M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Alejandro Hayen M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Guajardo M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Vit Kalina M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Nathan Trouve M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Neo Niedner M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Diogo Morais M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 26/05 | Juan Carlos Fuentes Vasquez M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Chang vs Reece Falck?
Our model gives 71% to Alexander Chang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.