Tennis · M15 Bali · 08/09, 05:00

Prediction: Leo Borg vs Jake Dembo

Team pages: Leo Borg · Jake Dembo

Prediction summary
Winner
78% 22%
Leo Borg Jake Dembo
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Leo Borg 8-2 (W-L)
LWWWWWWWWL
Jake Dembo 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLLWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leo Borg 1566 · Jake Dembo 1483
Leo BorgJake Dembo
Our model62%38%
Market91%9%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leo Borg (rating 1566 vs 1483).
  • Leo Borg is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Leo BorgJake Dembo
Win %70%40%
Win % · Clay 80% (5) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.80.9-1.2
Games (G-P)12.8-10.89.8-10.2
Aces5.24
Double faults1.71.5
1st serve %73.6%66%
Break %53.1%37.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leo Borg

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/09 Isaac Becroft
M15 Bali
1-2 10-16 L
04/09 Sam Ryan Ziegann
M15 Bali
2-1 18-14 W
03/09 Ha Minh Duc Vu
M15 Bali
2-0 12-7 W
01/09 Alexander Chang
M15 Bali
2-0 13-9 W
23/08 Niklas Guttau
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
1-2 11-16 L
22/08 John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
21/08 Stefan Seifert
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W
20/08 Karl Friberg
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
19/08 Lucas Renard
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
12/08 Kevin Edengren
M15 Malmo
1-2 11-16 L

Jake Dembo

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/09 Arjun Mehrotra
M15 Bali
0-2 5-12 L
23/08 Arjun Mehrotra
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
22/08 Jack Bruce-Smith
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
21/08 Kareem Abdul Hakim
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
20/08 Gautam S Venkatraman
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
19/08 Anthony Susanto
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/08 Aarjun Pandit
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
14/07 Eric Tripathi
M25 Brisbane
2-0 12-5 W
17/06 Lars Goran Verwerft
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
16/06 Milan Markovits
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
1-2 13-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leo Borg vs Jake Dembo?

Our model gives 78% to Leo Borg, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.