Tennis · UTR Pro Sydney Women · 11/09, 04:00
Prediction: Larisa Arnautovic vs Bridget Mihulka
Team pages: Larisa Arnautovic · Bridget Mihulka
Prediction summary
Winner
Larisa Arnautovic
Bridget Mihulka
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Larisa Arnautovic
6-4 (W-L)
Bridget Mihulka
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Larisa Arnautovic 1536 · Bridget Mihulka 1420
| Larisa Arnautovic | Bridget Mihulka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Larisa Arnautovic (rating 1536 vs 1420).
- Larisa Arnautovic is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Bridget Mihulka makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Larisa Arnautovic | Bridget Mihulka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-9.4 | 8.5-12.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.3% | 48.1% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Larisa Arnautovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Sara Mickoska UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Bhavya Bhardwaj UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Nikitha Desai UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/03 | Amy Stevens W15 Wodonga · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Naoko Eto W15 Wodonga · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/02 | Jizelle Sibai W75 Brisbane Qual |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/02 | Amy Stevens W75 Brisbane |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 10/11 | Arina Bulatova ITF W50 Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/11 | Nanari Katsumi ITF W50 Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/10 | Shiho Tsujioka ITF W35 Brisbane |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Bridget Mihulka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Bhavya Bhardwaj UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Nikitha Desai UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/09 | Sara Mickoska UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 28/08 | Amelia Zylberman UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Caitlin Baker UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Lucia Gale UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Sara Mickoska UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Amelia Zylberman UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Dayna Harrison UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/08 | Christina Dodaj UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Larisa Arnautovic vs Bridget Mihulka?
Our model gives 73% to Larisa Arnautovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.