Tennis · UTR Pro Sydney Women · 09/09, 03:40
Prediction: Larisa Arnautovic vs Sara Mickoska
Team pages: Larisa Arnautovic · Sara Mickoska
Prediction summary
Winner
Larisa Arnautovic
Sara Mickoska
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Larisa Arnautovic
5-5 (W-L)
Sara Mickoska
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Larisa Arnautovic 1511 · Sara Mickoska 1506
| Larisa Arnautovic | Sara Mickoska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sara Mickoska makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Larisa Arnautovic | Sara Mickoska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-10 | 11.3-11.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58% | 57.1% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Larisa Arnautovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Bhavya Bhardwaj UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Nikitha Desai UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/03 | Amy Stevens W15 Wodonga · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Naoko Eto W15 Wodonga · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/02 | Jizelle Sibai W75 Brisbane Qual |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/02 | Amy Stevens W75 Brisbane |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 10/11 | Arina Bulatova ITF W50 Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/11 | Nanari Katsumi ITF W50 Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/10 | Shiho Tsujioka ITF W35 Brisbane |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Laquisa Khan ITF W35 Darwin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Sara Mickoska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Bridget Mihulka UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 28/08 | Juliet Santitto UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 27/08 | Ashley Katz UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Lily Fannin UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Lucia Gale UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Bridget Mihulka UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/08 | Eva Lopez UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 21/08 | I Wen Wan UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Bianca Compuesto UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 19/08 | Ashley Katz UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Larisa Arnautovic vs Sara Mickoska?
Our model gives 59% to Larisa Arnautovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.