Tennis · UTR Pro Sydney · 09/09, 04:00

Prediction: Casey Hoole vs James Girdler

Team pages: Casey Hoole · James Girdler

Prediction summary
Winner
86% 14%
Casey Hoole James Girdler
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Casey Hoole 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWLLWW
James Girdler 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Casey Hoole 1624 · James Girdler 1395
Casey HooleJames Girdler
Our model79%21%
Market92%8%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Casey Hoole (rating 1624 vs 1395).
  • Casey Hoole is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Casey HooleJames Girdler
Win %90%10%
Win % · Hard 90% (10) 10% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.40.4-1.8
Games (G-P)12.4-6.76.3-11.8
Aces2.11
Double faults1.73.1
1st serve %74.6%52%
Break %58%46.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Casey Hoole

WWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Cameron Burton
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
07/09 Jera Staley
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
25/08 Derek Pham
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
24/08 Alec Braund
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-1 14-10 W
23/08 Elijah Cham
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
22/08 Haruto Ishikawa
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
21/08 Alec Braund
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
20/08 Oscar Andrews
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
19/08 Zane Stevens
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-1 16-11 W
18/08 Eric Tripathi
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 12-4 W

James Girdler

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Jonas Hahn
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
28/08 Arjun Balakrishnan
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
1-2 11-16 L
26/08 Eric Tripathi
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
25/08 Jera Staley
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
24/08 Kuma Ito
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
22/08 Oscar Andrews
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
1-2 11-14 L
21/08 Kuma Ito
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
20/08 Elijah Cham
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
19/08 Cody Atkinson
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
18/08 Enzo Aguiard
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 2-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Casey Hoole vs James Girdler?

Our model gives 86% to Casey Hoole, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.