Tennis · M25 Plaisir · 07/09, 09:30

Prediction: Mathys Picard vs Noah Boutleux

Team pages: Mathys Picard · Noah Boutleux

Prediction summary
Winner
64% 36%
Mathys Picard Noah Boutleux
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mathys Picard 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWWLLLLW
Noah Boutleux 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mathys Picard 1512 · Noah Boutleux 1502
Mathys PicardNoah Boutleux
Our model51%49%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Mathys Picard makes many double faults (5.3/match).

Statistics

Mathys PicardNoah Boutleux
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.1-1.2
Games (G-P)9-11.39.7-9.8
Aces2.33
Double faults5.33
1st serve %63.4%71.6%
Break %36%65.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mathys Picard

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/09 Sacha Grandvincent
M25 Plaisir
2-0 13-7 W
02/09 Fares Zakaria
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
0-2 7-12 L
23/07 Loan Lestir
M15 Rognac
0-2 5-12 L
22/07 Max Benaim
M15 Rognac
2-1 14-18 W
16/07 Sean Cuenin
M25 Uriage
0-2 3-12 L
15/07 Laurin Aerne
M25 Uriage
2-0 12-7 W
14/07 Laurin Aerne
M25 Uriage
2-0 13-9 W
13/07 Robinson Le Meur
M25 Uriage
2-1 9-11 W
30/06 Tuncay Duran
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 1-8 L
28/06 Roger Pascual Ferra
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 13-17 L

Noah Boutleux

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/08 Giovanni Boi
M15 Cap d'Agde
0-2 5-12 L
27/07 Dorian Tremblay
M15 Strasbourg
1-2 10-9 L
26/07 Axel Huysmans
M15 Strasbourg
2-0 12-5 W
21/07 Loann Massard
M15 Rognac
0-2 5-12 L
13/07 Arthur Laborde
M25 Uriage
0-2 8-13 L
12/07 Noe Vallier
M25 Uriage
2-0 12-0 W
22/06 Noe Milliard
M25 Montauban · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
17/05 Filip Malis
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-1 14-13 W
16/05 Timeo Bretin
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-1 12-13 W
15/05 Julien Dando
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mathys Picard vs Noah Boutleux?

Our model gives 64% to Mathys Picard, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.