Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 07/09, 11:30
Prediction: Pierre Antoine Tailleu vs Mathieu Scaglia
Team pages: Pierre Antoine Tailleu · Mathieu Scaglia
Prediction summary
Winner
Pierre Antoine Tailleu
Mathieu Scaglia
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Pierre Antoine Tailleu
4-6 (W-L)
Mathieu Scaglia
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pierre Antoine Tailleu 1505 · Mathieu Scaglia 1548
| Pierre Antoine Tailleu | Mathieu Scaglia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mathieu Scaglia (rating 1505 vs 1548).
- Note: Pierre Antoine Tailleu makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Mathieu Scaglia makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Pierre Antoine Tailleu | Mathieu Scaglia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.5-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.1 | 13.9-12.2 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 33.3% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pierre Antoine Tailleu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Alec Deckers Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 28/08 | Maxime Chazal M15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Amaury Raynel M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Tanguy Genier M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Santander |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 18/08 | Aren Baybars M25 Santander |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 03/08 | Daniele Minighini M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Samuel Rovai M25 Gentofte |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Pierluigi Basile M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Mathieu Scaglia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Amit Vales Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/08 | Pierre Delage M15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Jaume Casas Blasi M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 21/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Abdulhamid Mubarak M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Ander Tarrio Ponte M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/07 | Julio Cesar Porras M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pierre Antoine Tailleu vs Mathieu Scaglia?
Our model gives 56% to Mathieu Scaglia, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.