Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 07/09, 11:30
Prediction: Justin Boulais vs Matisse Bobichon
Team pages: Justin Boulais · Matisse Bobichon
Prediction summary
Winner
Justin Boulais
Matisse Bobichon
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Justin Boulais
5-5 (W-L)
Matisse Bobichon
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justin Boulais 1469 · Matisse Bobichon 1513
| Justin Boulais | Matisse Bobichon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matisse Bobichon (rating 1469 vs 1513).
- Matisse Bobichon dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 43.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Justin Boulais | Matisse Bobichon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.5 | 11.8-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 31.2% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justin Boulais
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Matis Roche Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Adam Walton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Connor Church Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 17/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Laval |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Millen Hurrion M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Matisse Bobichon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Adil Kalyanpur Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 04/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Nicolas Tepmahc M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Daniel Jovanovski M15 Brisbane |
0-1 | 7-9 | L |
| 17/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Scott Jones M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Ymerali Ibraimi M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Justin Boulais vs Matisse Bobichon?
Our model gives 59% to Justin Boulais, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.