Tennis · M25 Plaisir · 07/09, 09:30

Prediction: Yanis Peterhans vs Paul Theate

Team pages: Paul Theate

Prediction summary
Winner
26% 74%
Yanis Peterhans Paul Theate
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Yanis Peterhans 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLWLLLW
Paul Theate 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLLWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yanis Peterhans 1424 · Paul Theate 1497
Yanis PeterhansPaul Theate
Our model40%60%
Market14%86%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paul Theate (rating 1424 vs 1497).
  • Paul Theate is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Yanis Peterhans makes many double faults (7.3/match).

Statistics

Yanis PeterhansPaul Theate
Win %20%50%
Win % · Clay 0% (3) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.4-1.61-1.1
Games (G-P)6.7-11.59.5-9.3
Aces1.41.2
Double faults7.32.7
1st serve %55.8%63.2%
Break %33.1%36.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yanis Peterhans

WLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/09 Ezequiel Fagotti
M25 Plaisir
2-0 12-6 W
25/08 Mattias Pisanu
M25 Maribor
0-2 8-13 L
26/07 Arno Guillet
M15 Strasbourg
0-2 10-14 L
13/07 Nicola Senn
M25 Uriage
0-2 3-12 L
12/07 Arman Dubreuil
M25 Uriage
2-0 14-11 W
26/05 Piotr Galus
M25 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
19/05 Piotr Galus
M25 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
27/04 Michael Zhu
M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard
0-2 3-11 L
02/03 Luca Parenti
M25 Trimbach · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
14/09 Tyler Stice
ITF M25 Nevers · Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Paul Theate

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/09 Jack McGary
M25 Plaisir
2-0 13-8 W
30/08 Martin Simon
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
0-2 8-12 L
06/07 Justin Lenders
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 6-12 L
05/07 Gustavo Masiero
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-0 W
22/06 Louis Boilevin
M25 Montauban · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
14/06 Gerard Campana Lee
Challenger Royan · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
24/05 Timeo Trufelli
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
20/05 Jack Loge
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
18/05 Brice Patoux
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
17/05 Flavio Bocci
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
2-1 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yanis Peterhans vs Paul Theate?

Our model gives 74% to Paul Theate, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.