Tennis · WTA Montreux · 08/09, 10:00

Prediction: Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales vs Marina Bassols Ribera

Team pages: Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales · Marina Bassols Ribera

Prediction summary

Winner

48% 52%

Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales Marina Bassols Ribera

Estimated games

21.5

Recent form · 10 last

Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales 6-4 (W-L)

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Marina Bassols Ribera 3-7 (W-L)

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Head-to-head

Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales 3–3 Marina Bassols Ribera (6 last)

14 Jun0-2 8-12L
16 Jun0-2 10-13L
20 May2-1 16-11W
30 May2-0 12-6W
08 Jun2-0 12-3W
14 Nov1-2 16-17L

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales 1515 · Marina Bassols Ribera 1492

	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales	Marina Bassols Ribera
Our model	53%	47%
Market	44%	56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

Note: Marina Bassols Ribera makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales	Marina Bassols Ribera
Win %	50%	40%
Win % · Clay	67% (6)	60% (5)
Sets (G-P)	1.1-1	1.1-1.4
Games (G-P)	10.3-9.5	10.2-10.9
Aces	5.3	0.6
Double faults	3.9	5
1st serve %	61.9%	59.6%
Break %	55.6%	52.6%

Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

H2H · Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales 3 – 3 Marina Bassols Ribera (6)

Odds Bet365

12.10

21.67

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	2
16:50 +5’	2.10	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales 3–3 Marina Bassols Ribera

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Date	Sets	Games	Res.
14/06/23 WTA Valencia	0-2	8-12	L
16/06/22 ITF W60 Madrid	0-2	10-13	L
20/05/22 ITF W25 Platja D’Aro	2-1	16-11	W
30/05/19 ITF W25 SM de Montbui	2-0	12-6	W
08/06/17 ITF Women Madrid	2-0	12-3	W
14/11/16 ITF Women Benicarlo	1-2	16-17	L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales

LLLWL

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Date	Opponent	Sets	Games	Res.
26/08	Tamara Zidansek US Open Women · Hard	0-2	8-13	L
25/08	Jodie Anna Burrage US Open Women · Hard	2-0	13-10	W
11/08	Alicia Herrero Linana W50 Hamburg	0-2	7-12	L
04/08	Jenny Lim W75 Koksijde	0-2	4-12	L
30/05	Jennifer Ruggeri W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay	0-2	9-13	L
29/05	Elizabeth Mandlik W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay	2-0	13-5	W
28/05	Aran Teixido Garcia W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay	2-0	12-1	W
27/05	Anastasia Tikhonova W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay	2-0	12-6	W
22/05	Kaitlin Quevedo French Open Women · Clay	1-2	13-15	L
20/05	Kaja Juvan French Open Women · Clay	2-0	12-8	W

Marina Bassols Ribera

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Date	Opponent	Sets	Games	Res.
26/08	Martyna Kubka US Open Women · Hard	0-2	5-12	L
25/08	Darya Astakhova US Open Women · Hard	2-1	17-15	W
11/08	Sinja Kraus WTA Cincinnati · Hard	0-2	7-12	L
01/08	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Toronto · Hard	1-2	9-14	L
29/07	Darja Vidmanova WTA Memphis · Hard	1-2	12-15	L
18/07	Sinja Kraus WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay	1-2	11-15	L
17/07	Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay	2-0	12-3	W
16/07	Arantxa Rus WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay	2-1	12-8	W
14/07	Anna-Lena Friedsam WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay	2-0	12-3	W
06/07	Paula Badosa WTA Bastad · Clay	0-2	5-12	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales vs Marina Bassols Ribera?

Our model gives 52% to Marina Bassols Ribera, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.