Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 07/09, 10:00
Prediction: Maxime Janvier vs Oskari Paldanius
Team pages: Maxime Janvier · Oskari Paldanius
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxime Janvier
Oskari Paldanius
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
Maxime Janvier
4-6 (W-L)
Oskari Paldanius
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxime Janvier 1460 · Oskari Paldanius 1514
| Maxime Janvier | Oskari Paldanius | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oskari Paldanius (rating 1460 vs 1514).
- Oskari Paldanius is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Maxime Janvier makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Maxime Janvier | Oskari Paldanius | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-13.4 | 12.8-12 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 42% | 58.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxime Janvier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Daniele Rapagnetta M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 27/07 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 26/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 12/07 | Giammarco Gandolfi Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Oskari Paldanius
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Maximus Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/08 | Peter Makk Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Amit Vales M15 Turku |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/08 | Oscar Weightman M15 Turku |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Turku |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 02/08 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxime Janvier vs Oskari Paldanius?
Our model gives 57% to Oskari Paldanius, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.