Tennis · M15 Bali · 07/09, 05:00

Prediction: Kai-I Wang vs Thomas Patton

Team pages: Kai-I Wang · Thomas Patton

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Kai-I Wang Thomas Patton
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Kai-I Wang 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWWLLLWL
Thomas Patton 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kai-I Wang 1424 · Thomas Patton 1499
Kai-I WangThomas Patton
Our model39%61%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thomas Patton (rating 1424 vs 1499).
  • Thomas Patton is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Kai-I Wang makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Kai-I WangThomas Patton
Win %20%50%
Win % · Hard 20% (10) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.71.1-1.1
Games (G-P)10-12.710.3-10.1
Aces2.33
Double faults4.43
1st serve %60.9%67.3%
Break %32.6%38.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kai-I Wang

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Kasidit Samrej
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
25/08 Ryota Tanuma
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 14-10 W
18/08 Yu Hsiou Hsu
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
30/06 Ryotaro Taguchi
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/06 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
16/06 Jaesung Choe
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 8-10 L
27/05 Shintaro Imai
M15 Luan · ~Hard
1-2 13-14 L
19/05 Ashton Mcleod
M15 Luan · ~Hard
1-2 12-11 L
06/03 Fitriadi M Rifqi
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 16-19 L
05/03 Yuki Mochizuki
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-1 15-14 W

Thomas Patton

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Ryotaro Taguchi
M15 Bali
0-2 7-13 L
01/09 Arjun Rathi
M15 Bali
2-0 13-8 W
31/08 Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen
M15 Bali
2-0 12-7 W
22/08 Arjun Mehrotra
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
1-2 11-17 L
20/08 Renaldi Aqila A Salim
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
19/08 Maximus Zavier Wong
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
18/08 Azuma Visaya
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/08 Nathan Anthony Barki
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
24/07 Eyal Shumilov
UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
23/07 Ondrej Hujo
UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay
2-1 15-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kai-I Wang vs Thomas Patton?

Our model gives 52% to Thomas Patton, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.