Tennis · W50 Guiyang · 07/09, 04:00

Prediction: Kayo Nishimura vs Hikaru Sato

Team pages: Hikaru Sato

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Kayo Nishimura Hikaru Sato
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Kayo Nishimura 3-7 (W-L)
WLWWLLLLLL
Hikaru Sato 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLLLWLW
Head-to-head
Kayo Nishimura 0–2 Hikaru Sato (2 last)
  • 13 Jun0-2 7-12L
  • 18 Nov0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kayo Nishimura 1457 · Hikaru Sato 1527
Kayo NishimuraHikaru Sato
Our model40%60%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hikaru Sato (rating 1457 vs 1527).
  • Head-to-head: Kayo Nishimura 0–2 Hikaru Sato (2).

Statistics

Kayo NishimuraHikaru Sato
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.31.1-1.3
Games (G-P)9.5-10.512-11.6
Aces0.32.5
Double faults23.3
1st serve %54.2%63.8%
Break %42.9%42.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

H2H · Kayo Nishimura 02 Hikaru Sato (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kayo Nishimura 02 Hikaru Sato

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DateSetsGamesRes.
13/06/26
W15 Tokyo
0-27-12L
18/11/25
W100 Takasaki
0-27-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kayo Nishimura

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/09 Eunhye Lee
W50 Guiyang
2-1 18-14 W
30/08 Patcharin Cheapchandej
W75 Tianjin
0-2 4-12 L
05/08 Dana Guzman
W35 Southaven
0-2 2-12 L
29/07 Lexington Reed
W75 Lexington
0-2 6-12 L
21/07 Isabella Marton
W35 Saskatoon
0-2 7-13 L
16/07 Sara Saito
W75 Granby
0-2 6-12 L
14/07 Teah Chavez
W75 Granby
2-0 12-2 W
13/07 Mia Kupres
W75 Granby
2-0 12-3 W
25/06 Sakura Hosogi
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
1-2 15-15 L
23/06 Yu-Ning Tsai
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W

Hikaru Sato

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/09 Yuno Kitahara
W50 Guiyang
2-0 12-5 W
31/08 Jiaqi Wang
W75 Tianjin
0-2 9-13 L
30/08 Yingqun Sun
W75 Tianjin
2-1 16-12 W
12/08 Julia Avdeeva
W35 Aldershot
0-2 8-12 L
11/08 Indianna Spink
W35 Aldershot
2-1 17-14 W
06/08 Amelia Rajecki
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
05/08 Mao Mushika
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-1 19-14 W
30/07 Sayaka Ishii
W35 Aldershot
1-2 12-16 L
28/07 Mio Mushika
W35 Aldershot
2-0 12-5 W
27/06 Priska Madelyn Nugroho
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kayo Nishimura vs Hikaru Sato?

Our model gives 63% to Hikaru Sato, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.