Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 07/09, 10:00
Prediction: Ugo Blanchet vs Laurent Lokoli
Team pages: Ugo Blanchet · Laurent Lokoli
Prediction summary
Winner
Ugo Blanchet
Laurent Lokoli
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ugo Blanchet
3-7 (W-L)
Laurent Lokoli
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ugo Blanchet
0–1
Laurent Lokoli
(1 last)
- 05 Sept0-2 11-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ugo Blanchet 1460 · Laurent Lokoli 1604
| Ugo Blanchet | Laurent Lokoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laurent Lokoli (rating 1460 vs 1604).
- Laurent Lokoli is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ugo Blanchet 0–1 Laurent Lokoli (1).
Statistics
| Ugo Blanchet | Laurent Lokoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.7 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-14.9 | 11.5-7.1 |
| Aces | 13.6 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 28.5% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Ugo Blanchet 0 – 1 Laurent Lokoli (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ugo Blanchet 0–1 Laurent Lokoli
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/23 Challenger Cassis | 0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ugo Blanchet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Otto Virtanen US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 18/08 | James Watt Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 17/08 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 12/08 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 08/06 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Felix Gill Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 20/05 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Charles Broom French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 12/05 | Pierre Delage Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Laurent Lokoli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Pierluigi Basile M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 23/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/08 | Daniele Rapagnetta M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/08 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Mickael Kaouk M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Martin Riu M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ugo Blanchet vs Laurent Lokoli?
Our model gives 58% to Laurent Lokoli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.