Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 07/09, 10:00
Prediction: Mae Malige vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Team pages: Mae Malige · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Prediction summary
Winner
Mae Malige
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mae Malige
5-5 (W-L)
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mae Malige 1420 · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 1488
| Mae Malige | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg (rating 1420 vs 1488).
- Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Mae Malige makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Mae Malige | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-12.1 | 12.3-12.8 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 4 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mae Malige
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Alexandre Reco M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 27/08 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Romain Andres M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Maxence Rivet M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Oliver Crawford M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Matias Reyniak M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Porto |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/06 | Luca Potenza M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 21/07 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Alexander Donski Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 03/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mae Malige vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg?
Our model gives 66% to Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.