Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 07/09, 10:00
Prediction: Gauthier Onclin vs Raphael Perot
Team pages: Gauthier Onclin · Raphael Perot
Prediction summary
Winner
Gauthier Onclin
Raphael Perot
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Gauthier Onclin
5-5 (W-L)
Raphael Perot
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gauthier Onclin
1–0
Raphael Perot
(1 last)
- 21 Mar2-1 15-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gauthier Onclin 1520 · Raphael Perot 1604
| Gauthier Onclin | Raphael Perot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Raphael Perot (rating 1520 vs 1604).
- Head-to-head: Gauthier Onclin 1–0 Raphael Perot (1).
Statistics
| Gauthier Onclin | Raphael Perot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.9 | 12.1-7.7 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 57.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Gauthier Onclin 1 – 0 Raphael Perot (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gauthier Onclin 1–0 Raphael Perot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 M25 Toulouse | 2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gauthier Onclin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Vitaliy Sachko US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Vit Kopriva Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Tyler Zink Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 24/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 22/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Raphael Perot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Alex Knaff M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Alexandre Reco M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Liam Branger M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Julio Cesar Porras M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Mika Brunold Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/08 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Jack Loge M25 Koksijde |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 12/08 | Abel Forger M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gauthier Onclin vs Raphael Perot?
Our model gives 53% to Raphael Perot, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.