Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 07/09, 10:00
Prediction: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Felix Balshaw
Team pages: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · Felix Balshaw
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Felix Balshaw
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
3-7 (W-L)
Felix Balshaw
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1460 · Felix Balshaw 1566
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Felix Balshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felix Balshaw (rating 1460 vs 1566).
- Felix Balshaw dominates on serve: 7 aces and 42.3% break avg.
- Felix Balshaw is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Felix Balshaw makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Felix Balshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-11.9 | 13.3-12.8 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 24.1% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Christopher O'Connell US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Maks Kasnikowski US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 20/08 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Hugo Gaston ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Andrea Pellegrino ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Felix Balshaw
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 03/09 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | August Holmgren Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Sebastian Gorzny ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/08 | Luca Pow ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Felix Balshaw?
Our model gives 53% to Felix Balshaw, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.