Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 07/09, 10:00
Prediction: Ryan Peniston vs Daniil Glinka
Team pages: Ryan Peniston · Daniil Glinka
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryan Peniston
Daniil Glinka
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Peniston
3-7 (W-L)
Daniil Glinka
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Peniston 1436 · Daniil Glinka 1524
| Ryan Peniston | Daniil Glinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniil Glinka (rating 1436 vs 1524).
- Daniil Glinka dominates on serve: 8 aces and 57.5% break avg.
- Daniil Glinka is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Ryan Peniston makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Ryan Peniston | Daniil Glinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-11.6 | 12.1-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 8 |
| Double faults | 5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 76.7% |
| Break % | 34.2% | 57.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Peniston
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 20/02 | Max Basing M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 19/02 | Francisco Rocha M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/02 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/02 | Hynek Barton Challenger Tenerife · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/01 | Coleman Wong Challenger Manama · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/01 | Hyeon Chung Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/01 | Roman Andres Burruchaga Australian Open · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/01 | Moerani Bouzige Challenger Noumea · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Daniil Glinka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Zsombor Piros US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Pedro Martinez US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Harold Mayot Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Elias Ymer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Florent Bax Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Amit Vales Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Peniston vs Daniil Glinka?
Our model gives 65% to Daniil Glinka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.